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| 房地产价格促进地方财政增收的实证研究 |
| An Empirical Study on the Effect of Real Estate Price on Local Fiscal Revenue Growth |
| 投稿时间：2020-11-20 |
| DOI：10.16018/j.cnki.cn32-1499/c.202102011 |
| 中文关键词: 房价 地方财政收入 实证分析 |
| 英文关键词: house prices local fiscal revenue the empirical analysis |
| 基金项目: |
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| 中文摘要: |
| 基于国家统计局2000~2019年的年度数据，从地方政府财政收入、商品房平均销售价格、房地产开发企业土地购置费用和CPI等几个层面来探讨商品房房价波动对于地方政府财政收入的影响。通过建立向量自回归模型，我们发现，房价对地方财政收入有显著影响，一定范围内房地产价格的上涨能够有效带动地方财政收入增长。据此，有针对性地提出相应政策建议，以缓解地方财政困难，实现房地产市场可持续发展。 |
| 英文摘要: |
| For further research on the real estate market operation of the impact of local fiscal revenue, choose fiscal revenue of local government, commercial housing average prices, real estate development enterprise land acquisition costs and CPI as explanatory variables, using the annual statistics from 2000 to 2019 by establishing a vector auto-regressive model to carry on the empirical analysis. Empirical research shows that there is a strong correlation between house price and local fiscal revenue, and the increase of real estate price within a moderate range can effectively drive the growth of local fiscal revenue, which has a positive stimulus effect on GDP. Finally, it puts forward corresponding policy suggestions to alleviate local financial difficulties and achieve sustainable development of the real estate market. |
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