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从美国次贷危机看我国金融高杠杆催生的房地产泡沫与地方政府债务扩张的风险 |
Analysis on Housing Bubbles Caused by High Financial Leverage and Crisis of Local Government Debt Expansion from the Perspective of American Subprime Crisis |
投稿时间:2016-02-24 |
DOI:10.16018/j.cnki.cn32-1499/c.201602006 |
中文关键词: 次贷危机 房地产 地方政府债务 风险控制 |
英文关键词: subprime crisis real estate local governmental debt risk control |
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中文摘要: |
任何一个国家的房地产业在危机前都会本能地异化为利益博弈的焦点。目前我国房地产市场的一个罕见的长周期繁荣的“尾部时刻”已经渐行渐近。每个泡沫后面都有一根针在等着,而房地产的泡沫一旦破灭,数额巨大的地方政府债务也就失去了还款的基础,金融高杠杆催生的房地产泡沫与地方政府债务扩张的风险已经成为威胁我国社会经济持续发展的重要因素,美国的次贷危机足以对这种潜在风险产生重要的警示作用。 |
英文摘要: |
Almost in every country, the real estate, when confronted with crisis, will naturally become the focus of interest game. At present, in China, the rare tail-moment of the real estate's prosperity is approaching to its end. Each bubble will surely break, once the housing bubbles break, the large amount of local government debt will not be paid back. Consequently, the housing bubbles caused by high financial leverage and the crisis of local government debt expansion constitute the major elements threatening the sustainable development of the society and economy in China. The American subprime crisis can absolutely play an important warming role on the potential risks. |
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