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| 上海市能源消费影响因素研究——基于IPAT方程与完全分解法分析 |
| Research on Shanghai＇ s Energy Consumption Based on IPAT Equation and Complete Decomposition Method |
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| DOI：10.3969/j.issn.1008-5092.2011.04.009 |
| 中文关键词: IPAT方程 完全分解法 能源消费 |
| 英文关键词: IPAT equation complete decomposition method energy consumption |
| 基金项目: |
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| 摘要点击次数: 3905 |
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| 中文摘要: |
| 基于IPAT方程运用完全分解法对上海市2000—2009年间能源消费量进行了分析，探讨规模效应、技术效应和结构效应等影响能源消费的三大关键因素在能源消费量波动方面的影响。结果表明：过去十年中上海市经济规模扩张的影响超出了技术效应和结构效应，是能源消费增加的主要因素；规模扩张的反弹效应抵消了产业结构的调整和技术进步减少的能源消费；今后追求适度经济规模，加大产业调整力度是缓解上海市能源供应压力的关键。 |
| 英文摘要: |
| This paper used completely decomposition method based on IPAT equation to analyze energy consumption of Shanghai from year 2000 to 2009.The result shows that in the past ten years,economy’s expansion is the main factor to increase energy consumption in Shanghai,by which the rebound effect reduce the effect of energy consumption decrease caused by structure’s adjustment and technology’s advancement.Then proper economy scale and abundant structure adjustment is the key to release energy supplement pressure in Shanghai from now on. |
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